MONDAY MUSINGS

by Holly Horning

Throughout the week, there are so many smaller stories hitting the media.  They may be bite-size, but often they are just as important as the headline-grabbing news.  Sometimes, even more.

And that’s what brings me to today.  A way to bring them out in the open and invite conversation about some of these subjects.

It’s the plan for Mondays.  Keeping track of these mighty little bits that hit my radar throughout the week and sharing them with you today because I know one or more will also resonate with you. So, let’s kick off this week’s musings…


Many are too quick to want a player ousted after a couple weeks or a month because they are struggling.  I generally follow the rule of a 2-month trial for players (at least a year for executives) before I consider whether they are better off staying or returning to the minors.

Nick Maton makes for an interesting case and he’s now on my radar.  While he’s only hitting .166 (which is the lowest BA for the regular position players), his other slash line numbers are better than many of his teammates.  But it’s his numbers for HRs and RBIs that makes it really interesting.

Maton just relinquished leading the team in HRs and is #3 in RBIs.  And we all know that it’s not the BA that really counts, it’s how many runs you drive in that matters.

But he’s on the team’s radar and the subject of many conversations between the media and A. J. Hinch.  Which means he’s a potential target.

Scott Harris said he would be taking “calculated risks” in building this roster and Nick qualifies as one.  My guess is that they will give him until the All-Star break to see where he’s at and where all the 3B candidates are performing down in AAA before making a move.


Speaking of the minors, I’m not big on following players more than superficially until they’ve had a good amount of experience.  It’s because they are essentially raw dough and anything can happen during their development.  I do start paying some attention once they reach AAA and start producing consistently.  Yet, it is still such a huge jump from Toledo to Detroit that it’s very hard to determine how they will do once they reach Comerica.

It’s not the most productive allocation of time and attention to this organization. Focusing in on the minors is like trying to predict the future.

Take the case of Justyn-Henry Malloy.  Off to a “torrid” start in April that resulted in fans clamoring for his arrival in Detroit.  But since mid-May, he’s been hitting well under .200 and his strikeout rate is over 30%.  His defense is also suspect and the Mud Hens are considering a change from 3B to the outfield.

The minors really are a roller coaster as well with players working on their skills, improving and then getting promoted where they start all over again.  And of course, great performance in AAA doesn’t mean they will do well at the MLB level.

Don’t even ask me about Colt Keith until he’s spent at least a month in Toledo………


Have you seen the patterns of payroll spending in MLB?  In the NL East, half the teams are big spenders.  In the NL Central, it’s almost half the teams.  In the West, it’s almost all of them.

Turning to the AL, the East has most of its teams opening their wallets wide.  But with the Rays making fools of everyone else in their division.

The AL West has more than half their teams splurging on payroll.

And the AL Central?  The cheapest collection of owners.  Only 2 out of 4 other teams have spent more than the Tigers – and that’s pretty sad.

As I look at all 6 divisions, you can see that each team, in part, spends just enough money in response to what their counterparts in the division are spending.  That is, unless you are Mets owner, Steve Cohen.

The disparity in total payrolls is lowest in the AL Central.  Why spend more than the other 4 teams in your division if you don’t need to?

One would almost think that there is some sharing of information among the owners.  But that can’t be.

Would owners actually collude?  😉

Which one of these stories resonated the most with you?

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19 thoughts on “MONDAY MUSINGS

  1. I don’t get the Maton thing. Other than the fact that there isn’t anyone else in the minors waiting to step up I don’t see defending someone with a .160 average. Of course batting average isn’t everything but there is a bottom beyond which it makes no sense for someone to be in the lineup.

    Liked by 6 people

    • Hi, lb – The question to ask is whether it is more important to have a higher batting average or if it’s more important to drive in runs. We’ve known now for a decade that BA is a faulty stat and teams treat it as a secondary factor. Maton, for his low BA, ranks #4 in runs, #2 in HRs, and #2 in RBIs for the entire team. For ranking last in offense, is this the player you send down? His standing in driving in runs is what keeps him on the roster until a better option comes along. – Holly

      Liked by 2 people

      • Holly, just wondering (because I truly haven’t been watching the Tigers for a bit), but when was the last time Maton hit a home run or drove in a run? Has he done it recently? I know you keep up and will be able to tell me-lol. I’m not a fan of his, but I could be wrong.

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      • I have always heard that RBIs is a faulty stat also because it depends on your opportunities. Maton has been hitting 4th most of the year so he has had more opportunities. He does not have enough power to make up for a .160 average in my opinion (not many do).

        Liked by 1 person

    • In today’s game, BA is nothing, there is zero value. The guy who hits .350, scores runs and keeps innings going (plus wins the batting title) gets traded/released in today’s game. The guy who hits 35 HRs, most with no bearing on the game’s result, is treated like a “star”. JMO

      Liked by 1 person

  2. Due questions: 1) I think it was the right move to send Kreidler down to AAA and get some work with Iapoce. How is that doing? 2) Now that all teams play each other during the RS, to fix your # 3 story, why not go back to the only two divisions as it was till 1968? Thanks

    Liked by 3 people

    • The old two division line up left too many fans hopeless about their team come Father’s Day. I like the current system much better because there’s still hope unless you’re an Athletics, Rockies, Royals, or Nationals fan. Even the Tigers are not yet out of hope given the truly awful division they are in.

      Liked by 2 people

  3. Nick Maton has some good stats relative to his teammates but I think the bigger question is whether he can occupy a position on a contending team. His -.8 WAR and 70 OPS+ peg his as a below average performer. Like Tork, there is no obvious replacement, but he is falling way short of what you would like his production to be as a starter at his position.

    Liked by 12 people

  4. Comparing Maton’s success to the other players is like comparing the Tigers to the rest of the worst division. It’s obvious he can’t hit off-speed pitches and every pitcher knows that. Keep him in the lineup if you must but he hasn’t earned the 4/5 position yet.

    Liked by 4 people

  5. If your BA is under .200 you had better put up Kyle Schwarber power numbers. If the owners are colluding, the worst part is the Tigers still can’t contend in a division where all you have to do is play .500.

    Liked by 6 people

  6. In the Maton case, being the best amongst the worst is no accomplishment. For Tiger faithful, it’s like the Movie Groundhog Day once again. Incredible.

    Liked by 5 people

  7. Maton has 28 hits in 168 at-bats. He makes an out 83.3 % of his at-bats. The fact that a couple of his stats compare favorably with other players on the team does not make him a Major leaguer.

    Liked by 7 people

  8. Nailed it Holly. Baseball is aligning their divisions according to profitability/budgets/etc of each team. All 5 Al central teams will be cheap, small market, won’t sign players to big contracts, & will be 80 win teams. Then AL east will be the big market, big revenue teams with big payrolls.

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  9. I suspect Colt Keith will get his “at least one month” at Toledo pretty soon. The Tigers have more 3B options than ever but nobody is stepping up to grab the spot and Malloy’s glove at that position is suspect.

    Liked by 3 people

    • If you’ve been paying attention the last few years, it seems that all of the Tigers’ prospects can either hit, or play defense. Never both!

      Liked by 1 person

  10. Collusion is just a legal term what every business does. You spend what you need to and control costs by not overspending. Only in sports does it get you in trouble (But only if you are “caught”.)

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  11. The owners have a history of “Colluusion”) going back to the 80’s after the Tigers won the WS they got nailed along with the rest of MLB for doing so at which point Kirk Gibson ended up going to the Dodgers in I believe 1987

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