DEGREES OF EXPERTISE

by Holly Horning

With just a little over a year of observation, it’s become apparent that the Detroit Tigers have completely changed how they operate from a business perspective.  The Colt Keith contract is just the latest example.

Part of the reason lies in the backgrounds of the Tigers’ PoBO, Scott Harris and GM Jeff Greenberg.  They are part of the sweeping changes that have come to professional sports, esp. baseball.

Gone are the days when top baseball executives came from the game, scouted, managed or coached.  Today, almost every single President and GM has a degree from an elite college with majors that are directly applicable to the sport – psychology, business, sports economics, finance, etc. Almost none of them played baseball outside of college.

This applies to both Harris and Greenberg, however they also belong to an even higher level of baseball executives.

They have advanced degrees as well.  Greenberg has a law degree and Harris has an MBA.  A perfect match of both fields that helps a team make bigger and smarter decisions.

They are among the very few in MLB who possess those double degrees.

Who would have thought the Tigers would be leading the way?

Best of all, it’s paying off.

Gone are the days when the Tigers threw big bucks at ageing players for what they did in the past by signing them to long-term expensive contracts.  IF they ever do this again, it will be because of desperation, a sense of urgency and an immediate need that cannot be filled on-house.

Miguel Cabrera’s contract was owner-fueled and belonging to a much more complicated set of circumstances than those offered to Victor Martinez, Jordan Zimmermann and Javier Baez.  In all cases, contracts were offered despite the statistical red flags that offered proof that their skills were on a downward trend.

And despite all those years of winning, those contracts offered by Mike Ilitch, Dave Dombrowski and Al Avila had the Tigers operating in the red for over a decade.

This strategy simply didn’t make for good business acumen and was not a sustainable strategy.  And we saw it first-hand during a particularly nasty and lengthy tear down necessitated by ageing players and a drop in performance.

The Keith contract shows us that the Tigers are not going to continue this pattern but will instead invest in players who appear to be on the upswing and will create long-term value.

Sure, there are risks involved and some of these signings will fail.  But at least any loss will be minimal and won’t set the team back significantly.

The Tigers now are being proactive, instead of reactive.

Harris did inherit some bad contracts.  Eduardo Rodriguez (for the character and behavior issues), Miguel Cabrera and Javier Baez.

The Baez contract is the only 1 that remains.

And in his case, as well those involving ERod’s and Andrew Chafin, the former GM willingly handed out player opt-outs.  Every single one came back to bite the Tigers.

If you notice now, the Tigers don’t give those out anymore.  They only offer team opt-outs as they did with Mark Canha, Colt Keith, Carson Kelly and Casey Mize.

And Harris has added something new in offering those contracts.  A specific incentive plan.  Pay for play.

A golden carrot dangled out there to reward players for reaching certain performance levels.  It keeps them motivated throughout the year.

Remember the phrase “He’s playing for his next contract” to describe how a player suddenly turned it on in his last year because he needed another contract for the next season?

This new strategy of loading contracts with yearly incentives appears to be a method to keep a player motivated each and every year.

The simple fact is that Tigers are now operating from a position of power.  No more giving in to players during contract negotiations.

We saw Scott Harris refuse to re-negotiate Eduardo Rodriguez’s contract when he came calling before opting out.

We saw Harris refuse to take Andrew Chafin back after the 2022 season when he opted out and couldn’t get a new contract.  This year, he’s back – while also publicly admitting that he made a mistake.

And recently, the message sent not once, but twice to Casey Mize.  A powerful message over a measly $25K and then the symbolic $10K that Mize had wanted in arbitration.

Message received by Mize.  He got a new highly-incentivized contract for the 2024 season that will reward him in 2025 if he performs well.  Oh, and it’s also a team option just in case.

Harris simply knows how to negotiate.  And he does it well.  It’s all part of the tool kit he developed in business school.

It will be interesting to learn more about how Jeff Greenberg’s legal background comes into play.  But right now, he’s new – and silently lurking somewhere in Harris’ shadow.

Last but not least, there’s the contract extension given to A. J. Hinch.  Done 2 years before his current agreement is set to expire.  Most teams only extend managers a full year before their contracts end.

Details are not released but the Tigers have stated that Hinch will be in Detroit “for a very long time.”

This tells us 3 things.  That A. J. is their long-term guy. 

That they are very happy with him.

That he is part of their long-range vision of building a sustainable winner.

And you better believe that his contract is also incentive-laden.

Isn’t that just the best way to motivate and get the best performances out of everyone?


What did you miss on our Twitter feed yesterday?

  • Another ranking list is out. How many Tigers made it?

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
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WATERCOOLER WEDNESDAY

Over the weekend, Scott Harris signed Colt Keith to a 6-9 year contract.  Keith has yet to play in Detroit but ranks app. in the low-to-mid 20’s in the national rankings.

It’s a team-friendly deal but it does come with some risk.  Keith’s salary runs from $2.5 – $5 mill per year guaranteed and with 3 additional years at club option.

The terms of his contract and details may be found here:

What do you think of this contract?

Make sure to come back and check the final results!

FINAL RESULTS FROM A JANUARY TOTALLY TIGERS POLL:

What do you believe is the biggest factor that has prevented Lou Whitaker from being elected to the Hall of Fame?

  • His introverted personality that impacted the number of friendships he has in the industry.  60%   
  • The lack of effort by the Tigers and other players in promoting him to the voters.  28.8%    
  • His uncomfortable style of communication.  12%   

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

DIDN’T SEE THIS COMING

by Holly Horning

What perfect timing.  Last week, I asked readers the question:

Should the Tigers buy out and extend the contracts of any young players?

The majority of voters (45%) said “Yes, but there are no candidates this year.”

What a silly group we are!  It didn’t occur to us that we should have considered signing a prospect who has yet to play a single major league game to a 6-9 year contract.

The news was conveniently released on Sunday when the rest of Detroit-centric sports fans were focused on a football game.  It’s a well-known strategy used by PR types to soften the social media frenzy and disperse the reactions more gently over a period of days.

Because it’s controversial. Because most fans aren’t going to understand it.

So before we dig in, let’s review the contract just awarded to Colt Keith.  It starts this year and runs through 2029.  And it all but guarantees that he will be this year’s starting 2Ber.

There are an additional 3 years with all of them being club options, not player ones.  Scott Harris is only doing club option contracts, thankfully.

The details are as follows:

2024: $2.5 million

2025: $3.5 million

2026: $4 million

2027: $4 million

2028: $5 million

2029: $5 million

2030: $10 million ($2,642,500 buyout)

2031: $13 million ($1 million buyout)

2032: $15 million ($2 million buyout)

If he stays only through the first 6 years of guaranteed salary, he will be 28 when he becomes a free agent and still at a prime age to get another multi-year contract.  If the Tigers keep him for all 9 years, he’ll be 31.

Age-wise, it’s great timing for both sides.

Keith also got a $2 mill signing bonus and there is another $18 mill in incentives tacked on.

If Keith stays for the initial 6 years, he will be paid $28.6 mill guaranteed.  If 9 years are involved, then we’re talking $82 mill.

Colt is the 2nd player this off-season (and 7th overall) to sign a contract extension with zero MLB service time.  Jackson Chourio was the first this winter and his guaranteed contract is – get this – for $82 mill.

Think Scott Harris did his research?

I’m not sure exactly how to react to this news.  I see plusses and minuses for both sides.

The Tigers are taking a risk by signing a guy who hasn’t played in the major leagues and is only 22.  They are going by what he did in the minors and by his national ranking which – depending upon the site – is around the #20ish neighborhood.

They are buying out his arbitration years and he’ll be making no more than $5/year tops unless he sets the world on fire and earns the incentives written in.  I do like incentive-based contracts because they keep players motivated more consistently.

That part of the deal is a lower risk for the Tigers.  The financial package won’t create any problems just in case things don’t work out.

And when you think of it, the contract would be mighty appealing to other teams should a favorable trade situation come calling.

But I also see an attempt for the Tigers to hang onto players they perceive as being potential crucial pieces for an October run while circumventing a possible closing window.

It is a club-friendly contract and I’ve got to wonder why Keith would sign it.  If he is as good as people believe, he could be making much, much more down the road instead of $5 mill/year.

I can only think that job security – guaranteed income – was a priority for him. Potentially also avoiding the amount of pressure placed upon a player to perform exactly on schedule every year in order to negotiate a yearly contract.

It’s an agreement that offers both risk and reward for both sides.  Only time will tell which side will benefit more.  Hopefully both.

But Keith’s contract tells me that the Tigers wouldn’t have introduced the deal if they weren’t confident about the manager and coaches in charge.  People who will help bring out the best in him.

There’s also an intriguing side to this as well.

What does this mean for the other players?  Will there be more of these contracts?

The biggest standout is the appearance that the Tigers have done a 180-degree turnaround from the previous policy of offering long-term contracts.  I think the days of signing older free agents to long, expensive contracts is gone for the most part. 

Unless there is a huge hole that needs to be filled immediately and there are no solutions within the farm system. 

They are showing signs of finally becoming a modern organization and practicing what the top managed organizations like the Braves are doing.

But don’t you just wanna know what Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson are thinking right now?

Tork’s agent is Scott Boras and you know he’d never allow his client to sign a contract like this.  And I’m sure the Tigers aren’t interested in giving him a similar contract given his poor defense at baseball’s easiest position. 

Believe it or not, there may come a day when Tork’s bat is not as desperately needed as it is now and better defensive players who can also hit are waiting in the wings. He’s also the perfect trade bait for a team that is willing to trade starting pitching for a bat.

As for Greene, I believe there is concern over his frequent IL stints which is probably the biggest factor in not offering him an extended contract. Especially since he’s just coming off Tommy John surgery.

The injury bug issue can also be applied to Tarik Skubal.

But Jackson Jobe?  Maybe, although contracts for pitchers always carry a much bigger risk than those for positional players.

It could be that Max Clark turns out to be the next possible candidate – maybe as soon as 1 year depending upon his 2024 season.  The Front Office will be watching him during spring training.

I’m also reminded of another blog I wrote last week that addressed what needs to happen this year.  I said that Scott Harris needs to be bigger and bolder in his moves.

Does this qualify?


What did you miss on our Twitter feed yesterday?

  • A sportswriter who tried to give Al Avila the credit for finding and hiring Ryan Garko despite Garko having previously worked with 3 of A. J. Hinch’s coaches, including George Lombard and Chris Fetter.

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

MONDAY MUSINGS – WITH A TWIST

Every once in awhile, we like to mix things up.  Like today.

If you’re a regular reader, you’ve come to expect me to share 3 smaller stories that end up having lasting impact on Mondays.  But today, I’m turning the tables.

You’re in charge.

Here’s your assignment:

What 1 story – big or small – caught your attention over the past week?  It can be about the Tigers, another team or baseball in general.

Just one exclusion for today…. Please save your comments about Colt Keith for tomorrow when we will cover the topic extensively.

And for today only, you’ve got 6 sentences max to tell us about that topic.


What did you miss on our Twitter feed yesterday?

  • The Tigers did something very surprising.

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

DEEPER DISCUSSIONS

During the off-season, PoBO Scott Harris has emphasized a number of times that a team can’t have too many pitchers.  And since the 2023 season ended, the Tigers have been very busy dropping and acquiring pitchers more than any other type of player.

So far, they have eliminated 21 pitchers through an opt out, DFA, free agency and trades.  A few of those players have chosen to come back.  Most of those leaving were on the minor league rosters.

On the other end, the Tigers have acquired 8 new pitchers.  Half of them are expected to be on this year’s roster.

Harris has also said he’ll be looking for new pitchers throughout the season.

What do you believe is the single biggest reason for such a significant change in the organization’s pitching prospects?

Today’s blog addresses this dilemma and allows readers to share their thoughts in more detail. And hopefully, to actively engage with others by responding to their posts and creating back-and-forth discussion threads. The more the merrier!

For this one blog only, you’ve got 6 sentences max to share your thoughts. Of course, you can also respond to other readers.

TT will supply the ammunition. One thought-provoking question. Several options provided. One hard choice to be selected. One vote.

Ready?

Make sure to come back and check the final results!

FINAL RESULTS FROM A JANUARY TOTALLY TIGERS POLL:

Should the Tigers buy out and extend the contracts of any young players?

  • Yes, but there are no candidates this year.  45%    
  • No.  29%    
  • Yes.  26%   

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

SATURDAY SURVEY

After overcoming an injury, Jackson Jobe started to turn heads in the 2nd half of last season.

Only 21, he was the Tigers’ #1 draft pick out of high school back in 2021.  Last year, he rocketed through 4 levels of the minor leagues. 

He is currently ranked as the #54 prospect in MLB and the top 10 in pitching.  Out of those 10, he is routinely ranked as the #2 RHP.  With the Tigers, he is their #3 prospect.

Jobe has developed 3 solid pitches and his slider is believed to be one of the best, if not the best.  His control is excellent and he strikes out 1 batter per inning.  In the Arizona Fall League, he was striking out app. 1.5 batters per inning.

Given his rough start to 2023, he still finished with a 2.81 ERA and an amazing .984 WHIP.  He routinely throws in the mid-upper 90’s.

Jobe has been invited to his first spring training this year.  While promising, he’s not expected to make the Opening Day roster.  He has yet to pitch at the AAA level.

But how soon could he make the starting rotation?

Make sure to come back and check the final results!

FINAL RESULTS FROM A JANUARY TOTALLY TIGERS POLL:

Will Casey Mize return and remain in the Tigers’ starting rotation?

  • It doesn’t look promising.  52%  
  • Yes, but it’s going to take awhile.  25%    
  • No, the odds don’t favor him.  15%    
  • Yes, he’ll be fine.  8%   

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

FIVE FOR FRIDAY

by Holly Horning

In less than 3 weeks, players for the Detroit Tigers will start to gather in Lakeland for spring training.

Curiously, the Tigers have yet to release a full list of invitees who will join the regulars.  They have announced a few players over the past week.

There will be a lot to watch this year.  So many young players who are not currently on the roster but vying for a spot.  And a number of them that fans are curious to see compete against MLB-level players for the first time.

Which brings me to which 5 players I am most interested in watching.  Players who could be crucial to this year’s roster – or next year’s. 

I’m also curious about getting a better insight into the new player development program.  I want to see which players are progressing faster and which ones have benefited from the new coaching programs.

It’s a very tough choice.  I couldn’t get my list down from 6 to 5.  One player had to go – and it was the one I feel most confident about making the roster.

Colt Keith.  He seems primed to make his debut.

I had to select the 5 with the most question marks, the biggest buzz and the greatest roster need.

MAX CLARK – He was just drafted months ago and has zoomed up the prospect lists to sit at #5.  He is also the Tigers’ top-ranked prospect and is generating a lot of buzz throughout MLB.  His work ethic and drive are astounding.

JACE JUNG – Another top prospect, the Tigers are hoping to move him to 3B and so far, reviews have been solid.  But we need to see him play against MLB-level talent.  Third base is such a priority for Detroit that filling this position will be a really good sign that the Tigers are moving forward in a significant way.

JACKSON JOBE – Another prospect who has rocketed up the rankings and really turned it on in the second half of last year.  He’s currently ranked as the best #2 RHP (and top 10 pitcher).  Seeing him progress to being almost ready for the rotation will be huge, esp. considering that the starting rotation has a lot of question marks.

JUSTYN-HENRY MALLOY – We’ve heard so much about him but seen so little.  He’s got the offensive skills the Tigers really need but there are some defensive concerns.  Will he prove to be a solution sooner rather than later?  We so desperately need that offense.

CASEY MIZE – There’s a lot riding on his recovery and the odds of a full and quick return are 1 big question mark. He’s missed almost 2 years pitching and had 2 significant surgeries.  The Tigers invested so much heartache in getting him via the tanking process – and he’s been hyped so much –  that it would really be upsetting to think that this #1 draft pick may not work out.

Is there another player who made your top 5 list?  If there is, here’s your assignment:

Tell us which player you would add and why.  But there’s a catch.  Which player listed above would you remove?


What did you miss on our Twitter feed yesterday?

  • What does 1 ranking system have to say about Max Clark?

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

LET THE PRESSURE BEGIN

by Holly Horning

The Detroit Tigers are going into their 2nd year under the new regime.  New people have now had the chance to work together, the problems created and/or ignored by the former Front Office have been been discovered and changes have started to be implemented.

So what should our expectations be throughout the 2024 season?

We sat on our hands throughout last year, understanding that it was Scott Harris’ first season in charge and that naturally, it was going to take some time for him to assess the organization.  And as a result, many small moves were made last year as the organization readjusted.

But this year?

We can’t be as patient.  Especially because we sat through the unmitigated years of disaster from 2015 through 2022.  We need to start seeing bigger signs of hope and progress.

Chris Ilitch does, too.  The Tigers have lost just too many fans.  Studies show that fans start departing for good after 5 years of witnessing bad sports.  It’s been over 6 now for the Tigers.  Ilitch can’t afford another year where the Tigers remain uncompetitive.

The franchise lost app. $30 mill in revenue for the 2022 season.  Only 5 other MLB teams lost more.  (The figures for 2023 aren’t out yet.)  This doesn’t even include the big question mark surrounding broadcasting rights ($60 mill/year) which are likely to expire at some point within the year due to the bankruptcy issues tied to Bally Sports.  Currently, who will pay for what and how much is still up in the air and won’t be resolved for several months at least.

All of this means that the honeymoon for Scott Harris is officially over at the beginning of April.  The pressure is on.

He’s got to start showing bigger and better results this year.

Multiple small moves will no longer cut it.  It’s time for bolder moves.

But we need to understand that it’s going to take a month or two for what will eventually be the current roster to settle in.  If we don’t include any pitchers, there will be at least 5 new positional players making their debuts.  The Front Office needs to see how well they adjust before making any changes.

I wrote last week about just how many holes the Tigers have.  One can deduce that the team is still a good distance away from being seen as an October player.

Positionally, the outfield is fairly well-settled.  There is actually a surplus of players both current and expected to make their debuts later in the season.

The bullpen is also looking pretty good.

It’s the starting pitching and infield that are of real concern and will require the most work.  And that’s what Harris must address and significantly improve this year.

Today, let’s focus on the latter group – the positional players.  First, by reviewing where the holes and question marks are that Harris must address.

And there are a lot of them.

CATCHER

The Tigers have doubts about the long-term future of Jake Rogers which is why they’ve signed 6 catchers over the winter, established a catching coordinator position and also a specialized catching program.  Carson Kelly is yet unproven and there are questions about Dillon Dingler whom scouts say is very similar to Rogers.  It doesn’t appear that they have their preferred long-term catcher at hand currently and are working to get the right candidate, hopefully for 2025.

FIRST BASE

Spencer Torkelson can slug but he’s a defensive liability at the easiest position to play and ranks as MLB’s worst 1Ber.  His defensive stats profile close to those of Prince Fielder.  To remain on the team, he’s got to improve with the glove but he’s also got to continue slugging, even increasing his stats to help mitigate the runs he costs the team.

If he can’t, there currently are other players who could take his place – Kerry Carpenter (who has the team’s best slash line and is no longer a defensive liability) and Justyn-Henry Malloy are 2 possibilities.  The team has already stated that they will not return to the DH-only player.

Don’t think that Harris hasn’t considered the potential of trading Tork in a year or two who could be that big trade piece who gets the Tigers a much-needed starting pitcher.

SECOND BASE

There is a “for rent” sign currently sitting on 2B with Colt Keith expected to audition there.  But he has yet to play a game in Detroit so this will probably be a work in progress throughout the season. In the meantime, Andy Ibanez will hold things down but he’s not considered to be a permanent solution.

THIRD BASE

(See SECOND BASE.)  The same situation here with even less certainty.  Jace Jung is being moved there and doesn’t have a whole lot of experience working the hot corner.  He’s getting good reviews but it’s not the same as actually making the transition to the MLB level. Like Ibanez, Matt Vierling will keep the hot corner warm at first but don’t be surprised if he keeps the position for 2024. But no matter the player, third base is going to be an experiment this year.

SHORTSTOP

We all know the story with Javier Baez.  This is the make-it-or-break-it year for both him and the Tigers.  They already tried to help him last off-season and once again, they are putting even more resources and manpower on him this winter.  If this doesn’t work, they aren’t going to keep him for the remaining years on his contract.

As you can see, the infield is a mess.  Two players potentially are not long-term solutions, 1 is a problem and 2 others are question marks.  This is a below-average infield that is going to struggle defensively and with only 1 proven hitter out of 5.

So what must Harris have to do here this season?

At the very least, he’s got to find 2 permanent solutions for both 2B and 3B not named Vierling or Ibanez.  They have been missing qualified candidates in both slots for well over 2 years now.  It simply cannot go on and they need something more than temporary and/or utility players filling those spots.

And the Tigers simply cannot keep Javy Baez if he continues to kill offensive momentum at the plate. Increasing offense is actually a top priority. 

To keep a player who has struggled mightily for what may be 3 years tells everyone you have no sense of urgency about winning.  That you are prioritizing running out a contract instead of finding solutions that will move you forward.

But it’s going to be a much harder position to fill.  There are a number of SSs in Toledo but the ones who hit well, aren’t great with the glove.  And those with solid defensive skills, aren’t strong at the plate.

Those 3 positions are in the most need of attention and Harris has to move forward on all of them this year.  The other 2 slots can and probably will wait to be solved at some point in 2025.

Doing anything less will be perceived as moving too slowly and reflect badly on Harris.  He really needs to establish his reputation as a solid PoBO (GM).

Should he find that Keith, Jung and/or Baez are struggling this coming year, then he needs to have a Plan B before the 2025 season.

Signing some free agents.

The free agent market this off-season was described as one of the thinnest and weakest free agent market in decades but next off-season is expected to have a bumper crop of solid talent and many of those free agents play 2B, 3B and SS.  Even catcher.

There will be no excuses next winter if the Tigers still have serious holes in their infield.

But don’t expect that the Tigers are going to go out and buy every infield position.  They will be judicious in whom they target. This is no longer Mr. I’s team.

The Tigers can’t afford to continue auditions again next year.  They can’t continue to present themselves as a team still in the rebuilding process.

They have to move forward and show they are serious about putting a solid team on the field sooner rather than later.  It doesn’t necessarily have to be a champion-level team but it has to be a solid one.

Otherwise, Tiger fans will continue to flee. 

Besides, it simply doesn’t make sense for a team to spend so much money on quality executives/personnel, expand departments, invest in technology and hire a top tv broadcaster and then allow the roster building to lag behind all the new implementations.

The two former Front Offices were known to never have a sense of urgency.  We watched that window close under Dombrowski followed by a franchise that spun its wheels with Avila at the helm.

Those high draft prospects are only getting older and closer to free agency.  Harris has got to keep that window open as long as possible.

Let’s hope that he has a real sense of urgency.

Let the pressure officially begin.


What did you miss on our Twitter feed yesterday?

  • We rank the Tigers in free agent spending this off-season.

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

WATERCOOLER WEDNESDAY

On the day after the yearly election to the Baseball Hall of Fame, we are reminded of one of the greatest to ever play 2B.  A man who has yet to be recognized in Cooperstown.

Lou Whitaker.

In his first and only election, Sweet Lou received a vote total that was not so sweet.  He received less than 3% of the votes and as a result, was removed from the ballot.

In 2022, he failed to be nominated.  His next opportunity will be in 2025.

To summarize his accomplishments, Lou has a 75.1 WAR and is tied with Hall of Famer, Johnny Bench.  They both rank #82 in that category in all of baseball history. 

The Hall has 268 members elected as players.  Out of those, 20 of them were 2Bers.

If we ranked all of them, Whitaker would sit in 7th place behind Rogers Hornsby, Eddie Collins, Nap Lajoie, Joe Morgan, Rod Carew and Charlie Gehringer.

Many wonder why Whitaker, a most deserving and obvious candidate, is not in the Hall and goes unrecognized despite the stellar stats.

Some have attributed his absence to the Tigers’ lack of effort in supporting his candidacy.  Other teams prepare binders and video of their retired players to present to the voters.  Some of those teams also coordinate a PR push through those already elected to the Hall.

In August 2021, Chris Ilitch made the team’s first move in promoting Lou by retiring his number and honoring him with a spot on Comerica’s wall.  It was hoped that this move would have helped get him nominated in 2022.

Others will point to Whitaker’s unconventional personality, controversial moves connected to his religion and his odd and uncomfortable media interviews.  Some of those interviews on MLB Radio were so strange that they were cut short very quickly.

Yet there are other fans who point to Lou’s aloofness and introvert qualities that made keeping friends in baseball challenging.  Friends who would have helped support his election.

Whitaker did coach in spring training for the Tigers but both sides terminated the agreement almost 15 years ago.  Since then, he has spent most of his post-career as a missionary for his church.

What do you believe is the biggest factor as to why Lou is still not in the Hall despite having some of the best statistics of 2Bers?

Make sure to come back and check the final results!

FINAL RESULTS FROM A JANUARY TOTALLY TIGERS POLL:

Should the Tigers have a City Connect jersey?

  • No, I don’t want a City Connect jersey.  85%   
  • Yes, I want to see a modern jersey.  9%    
  • I am hesitant about a change.  6%   

Why should you follow Totally Tigers https://twitter.com/totallytigersbb on Twitter?

  • We tweet out breaking news before it’s published in the sports pages. The best news from the best sources.
  • Want more than 1 Totally Tigers fix every day? How about throughout the day?

PITCHERS BEHAVING BADLY

by Holly Horning

Don’tcha wonder if business schools that offer sports management programs have classes on how to handle starting pitchers?

My guess is that Scott Harris took those courses.

Ever since he came to the Tigers, he’s been dealing solely with problematic starting pitchers.  And, for the record, none of them he acquired.

The first, of course, was Eduardo Rodriguez, who went AWOL on the team a year before Harris’ arrival.  Ghosting everyone for almost 2 months.

Then a year later, he agreed to being traded to the Dodgers until, with less than an hour to go before the trade deadline, he pulled a bait-and-switch with the Tigers and Dodgers by asking for $20 mill more and a contract extension.

After that sketchy move, most people would understand that they had become considered persona non grata with their teams.  But not ERod.

At the end of the year, he approached Scott to discuss how the Tigers could sweeten the pot in order to get him to stay and not opt out.

Harris wasn’t biting.  Gee, wonder why.

During that same year, the Tigers tangled with Spencer Turnbull.  As you may remember, Turnbull was not pitching well and the Tigers told him he would be sent down to Toledo.  That is, until Spencer suddenly changed agents and remembered that he was injured.

The machinations to keep the service time clock went on for almost a full year and included alleged threats of litigation if Turnbull didn’t get his way.

In the end, the Tigers simply wanted him to go away.  A deserved DFA and ultimately giving him his requested and undeserved service time just to make it all stop.

Two pitchers with problematic entitlement issues.  Neither one deserving of what they wanted.

ERod is now the Diamondbacks problem.  Expect to see another issue crop up there as they did when he was with both the Red Sox and Tigers.

Turnbull, unsurprisingly, has yet to catch on with any other team.  The Tigers tried to trade him twice last year with zero takers. 

Neither pitcher grateful for how the Tigers accommodated them during their problematic stints.

And now we’re seeing hints that yet another starting pitcher is creating some friction with the team.

But before we get to him, let’s talk about the pattern of upstart starting pitchers.  It’s not just a coincidence.

Baseball teams do psychological profiles of their players which helps them identify where the player will best thrive.  Some of the tests are known to the players.  Others are not. (It is unclear if the Tigers were one of those teams pre-Harris that did their due diligence about profiling personalities.)

Players are often asked to complete personality profiles like DISC, Myers-Briggs or the Predictive Index.  There is also the favored Athletic Motivation Inventory.

Studies indicate that the most successful starting pitchers exhibit a stronger sense of self and ego.  They tend to have dominating thoughts and personalities.  Alpha personalities if you will. 

All of this helps fuel their pitching performances.

Looking back, there were plenty of problems with the Tigers’ renown starting rotation.  Intense battles for dominance (and also involving some personal issues) between Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Doug Fister and to a lesser extent, Rick Porcello.  David Price, for the short time he was here, was also problematic.

Today, we read reports of how Max Scherzer has continued to be difficult and how the Mets players weren’t fans of JV.

When you get a high level of talent and dominant personalities together, friction is bound to happen.

However, when Scott Harris took over, he distinctly spoke about how the corporate culture on the team needed to change.  He wouldn’t have said that if he didn’t see or hear about problems with multiple players.

It’s one thing to have an alpha personality.  It’s wholly another when a player – even a starting pitcher like ERod and Turnbull – only thinks about himself and doesn’t put the team first.  Especially when the pitcher’s performance doesn’t support his sense of entitlement.

Which now brings us to Casey Mize.

We saw the first hints when the Tigers and Mize couldn’t agree upon an arb eligible salary.  There was a difference of a mere $25,000.

No team is going to argue about that small of an amount.  It’s the equivalent of finding loose change under your sofa cushions for a baseball franchise worth billions.

Refusing to meet Mize’s suggested salary was about something else.

It was about principle.  It was about sending a message.  It was about creating a teachable moment.  And not just involving Casey.

Like Turnbull, it appears that Mize wanted to be rewarded for something he hadn’t done.

He’s missed almost 2 full years yet drew full salaries for both thanks to guaranteed contracts.  Not to mention the $7.8 mill signing bonus that was the 2nd highest ever given at the time.  A bonus that comes with a commitment by the player to continue performing at a very high level.  But so far, performance has fallen well below expectations. 

He was even given a raise last year despite essentially only pitching less than 10 innings the season before. And it wasn’t even an arbitration year where raises are guaranteed.

Even A. J. Hinch was reported to have said that he was very disappointed in Mize’s progression and had expected him to be much further along in the development process.

And now, Casey wanted a bigger raise for not throwing a single pitch last year.

One has to ask if the CBA rules governing guaranteed pay led to an expectation of getting a paycheck no matter the results.  Did he grow up in a culture or learn from his short career so far that merit doesn’t matter when it comes to getting pay raises?

Did receiving the 2nd highest signing bonus in baseball skew his understanding of how one gets paid?

In either case, there is a perceived sense of entitlement – that one should get paid more despite not having contributed anything tangible at all.

Like Turnbull, being rewarded despite bringing nothing to the table.

And the story continues to evolve.  Mize’s new contract is an interesting one.

The Tigers increased their 2024 offer to him but just $10K shy of his ask.  Again, a message is continuing to be sent.

In tandem with this offer is a team option for 2025.  The Tigers don’t want to give him an extra $10K this year but they are willing to pay him $3.1 mill for next year if he pitches well in 2024.

Think about it.  It was never about the money.

It’s about the motivation and changing the team culture.

It’s also about the message being sent to Casey.  If you want the money, you need to put in the work and reach a certain level of performance.  It’s not just going to be handed to you.

The refusal to pay that extra $25K but then also standing firm on the $10K is about drawing a line. It’s about re-establishing expectations.  It’s about an attitude readjustment.

Let’s remember that Mize came up during the Avila years and given his almost 2-year IL stint, he’s been removed from the new way the Tigers are doing business. He’s most likely still under the assumptions and operating system of the Avila Front Office.

The Tigers’ message to Mize is clear: Pitch well and we will reward you handsomely in 2025.  But if you struggle, you won’t get rewarded – but we will pay you the $10K difference and retain you in the arbitration cycle where you will receive less money.

As I wrote last week, the new Front Office is trying to rescue talented players from the former administration who had started to fall through the cracks.  Mize is one of them.  And the carrot they are dangling is their hope that he will finally get back on track both physically and mentally.

And potentially even solve the rumored resistance he had to coaching that some say contributed to his TJ surgery.

But there’s more to the Tigers’ message than meets the eye.

Scott Harris is in control of the player and his future.  He and others in the Front Office are considering how thing may unfold.

Potentially, Mize makes a full recovery after missing almost 2 full years and finally performs to expectations in 2024. Quite frankly, it’s a tall order. 

But if it does, that would become a win-win situation.  The Tigers get a solid starting pitcher and Mize gets a huge pay increase.

But if it doesn’t work out, the Tigers also have to have a plan in advance for minimizing (or mini-mize-ing) the loss.  (Sorry, the play on words was sitting right there and I couldn’t help it.)

They will have a former #1 draft pick still under team control for 2 more years and making a minimal salary.  He’ll be a nice trade candidate. 

There will always be another team that believes a change of scenery, more time or a different pitching coach can effect a turnaround.  Especially when it involves a starting pitcher and former #1 draft pick.

Let the re-education begin.


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