TICK, TICK, TICK

by Holly Horning

If you were an MLB  manager with the name “Joe”, it’s been a bad week for you.  Y’all got fired.

The drumbeat of teams making changes is picking up.  No longer are teams waiting until the end of the year to hire and fire.  It used to be that if teams were proactive, they might have done something over the All-Star break.

Two managers gone, some training and conditioning staff, a hitting coach and a few other assorted individuals.

Joe Maddon and Joe Girardi got canned for many of the things that are currently going on with the Tigers.  Lots of losing, overall lack of offense and injuries.

The Angels’ have more than half of their starting lineup hitting under .200.  Sound familiar?  Even Mike Trout’s bat has gone cold recently.

Their GM also pointed out that they were also concerned with the number of injuries.  A number, btw, that is much lower than the Tigers’.

It’s a team that is also in 2nd place in the AL West, 3 games under .500 and almost 10 games out of first.

In all, the Angels are in a much better position than the Tigers.  The difference is that they are considered to be a competitive team and thus more was expected.

Never mind the fact that Al Avila said early this year that the Tigers were no longer rebuilding.

Someone within L.A. actually felt it was important to pull the trigger now.

With the Phillies, much of the same.  Lack of offense and a record-setting bad defense.  Like the Angels, 3 games under .500 and 10 games out of 1st.  MLB’s 4th highest payroll that now qualifies for luxury tax penalties.

In this case, Girardi was the convenient scapegoat given that most MLB insiders are anonymously leaking to the press that the Phillies roster was put together very poorly.  Girardi was hired by Dave Dombrowski’s predecessor so for now, the blame is being put on him while the Front Office buys itself a little more time.

So with these 2 now gone, barely 2 months into the season, who’s next?  The 3 M’s.  Matheny, Mattingly and Martinez are widely rumored to be on the hot seats.

And no, it is said that A. J. Hinch’s seat is safe.  National writers concur that he is doing the best with what was given him.  Read into this what you will.

But it’s obvious that some changes need to be made.

The other day I dug into the Tigers’ offensive stats.  Stats in which they sit at #30 for all important categories.  Stats that show each player only getting app. 2+ pitches per at-bat.  Stats that show the team is on a pace to have the fewest runs scored since the team was founded in 1901.

This is bad.

If the Royals could fire their hitting coach – and they have better offensive stats than Detroit – how could the Tigers possibly hang onto theirs?

They have to make a change.  And soon.

Because Hinch isn’t going to agree to keep the same formula beyond 2022.

He also has an opt-out after this year but I believe it’s there to inspire change.  It wouldn’t be a good look for him to walk away, esp. when his team has done so poorly.

Hinch can use it as leverage which is what I believe was the original intent.

But who is the most likely candidate to implement those changes?

Chris Ilitch.

He spent over $243 million to add 7 free agents to this roster and this is what he gets.  None of them hitting and a team performing worse than they did last year.

Forget what you think about Chris not caring or being too friendly with Al Avila.  When you sink a quarter of a billion dollars into your team, you’re pretty steamed right about now.

Look at how he took Ilitch Holdings to new heights financially.  This man cares about money and getting a solid ROI.

Imagine how he feels every time Javy Baez goes up to bat.  He’s paying him $140mill and Baez is having his worst year at the plate by far.

His contract is being wasted.  So is Barnhart’s, Schoop’s, Meadows’ and others.

If your most highly-paid employees weren’t producing, would you stay silent?

Of course not. You’d be trying to figure out why.

The Tigers have to get better this year.  They have to be able to point to something to show progress.

So many fans have already written them off.  Six+ years of tearing down and rebuilding will do that. And stats show that after so many years, these fans will never return.

And this will be the true legacy of Ilitch.  Will he be willing to make the changes that his dad didn’t?  Has Chris learned lessons about how the team was run in the past?

For every year that the Tigers continue to be non-competitive, they will lose another swath of fans who are unlikely to come back.  Ilitch has to be seeing those empty stands and reading those attendance reports. Especially when payroll increased substantially.

I doubt he is going to sit on his hands and say nothing.

Maybe he already has. Maybe the Tigers are working on trying to find the right solutions or people to hire.

But if he doesn’t do anything, it will be the most disturbing sign fans will ever see.

If other teams make changes in their organizations while the Tigers don’t, despite being worse, it means only 1 thing.

They don’t place a priority on becoming competitive anytime soon.

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19 thoughts on “TICK, TICK, TICK

  1. Yes the Tigers need to make sweeping changes. I have been saying for the past few years it all starts with our GM. What more proof does Ilitch need to see before he awakes from his coma? This offense is the worst lineup I have ever seen.

    Liked by 9 people

  2. The Tigers are always so slow to act, always last in line. Always slow to fire. The most disturbing development, is the renewed omnipresence of Jim Leyland. It cannot possibly sit well with Hinch that the former Manager is always hanging around and looking over his shoulder. In Pittsburg, there were constant shots of Al Avila and Leyland in the stands. and it made me wonder why those two men were still employed.

    Liked by 11 people

    • Gang, the last two days have taken swipes a those old bugaboos, Lloyd and the Old Skipper. I really do think the statute of scapegoat limitations has run out on these dudes. If preseason we credit the Hinch regime for “changing the culture” we can’t go back to the old standby punching bags, can we?

      Liked by 4 people

      • We might, if their ongoing visibility means they still have some influence in the organization. It’d be fun to see behind the curtain to know for sure.

        Liked by 3 people

      • Hughie, in the case of Jim Leyland, I disagree with you. The man officially retired almost nine years ago, but refuses to go away. It is Hinch’s team now. Leyland’s continued presence and imput when he has stated publicly that he does not believe in many things the team has implemented since Hinch’s arrival is not a good thing and is counter productive to the present Manager.

        Liked by 6 people

  3. I do think the hitting coaches will get broomed at some point as scapegoats because that’s how it works in conventional baseball. But I think Holly projects too much Steinbrenner onto Illitch jr here. I mean the guy waited for years to act on/approve a player development house-cleaning despite supposedly masterminding a rebuild.

    Liked by 4 people

    • Hi, Hughie – I will add that Ilitch is motivated in different ways depending upon the situation. While it’s true he should have moved on PD sooner, the issue is about the timing and expected turnover within the Front Office that impacted the timing. And to be fair, people are loathe to invest $$$ when it will be years before a team becomes anywhere competitive. To give him credit, he did pour a ton of money into tech and improvements behind the scenes starting in 2018 that fans simply don’t know about.

      Today, the reason for his motivation to do something revolves around the huge investment he’s made in players. It is plausible that one can behave differently depending upon the situation, timing and investment. Let’s hope this is the case. 😉 – Holly

      Liked by 3 people

  4. Unlike Holly, who feels that AJ won’t opt out at the end of the year because it would not be a good look for him, I believe that the Angels, White Sox & others will present offers that he won’t be able to refuse. Sure, teams will see how poorly the Tigers have performed but it will also be easy to view how much he has changed the dynamics throughout the entire organization with limited executive authority. CI needs to act quickly so we don’t lose AJ.

    Liked by 9 people

    • My concern too. And if AJ goes, will Fetter go with him? Hard to imagine what this team would be like without the influence of those guys.

      Liked by 4 people

    • Hi, All – Some things to consider….. First is that no team can even approach Hinch until he opts out first. He has no way of knowing who would make an offer and what the terms might be. That’s a significant risk.

      Second, his ultimate goal is to be a GM. His quickest route there is through Detroit. No other GM is going to hire a manager who wants his job.

      Lastly, hinch has surrounded himself with people he knows and trusts. Scott Bream is his best friend. All reasons to stay in Detroit. – Holly

      Liked by 4 people

      • Hinch may have his sights set on becoming Director of Baseball Operations somewhere and Detroit is his fastest avenue to achieve that. Could see that happening whereby he would promote an upcoming young talent like Sam Menzin to GM and George Lombard to Manager if he is still around. As for Fetter, they need to hide his car keys so he cannot leave.

        Liked by 3 people

  5. Just a thought. Fire AA and promote AJ. Hire Maddon. He’s won in Tampa and Chicago when nobody else could. Probably going to be the best experienced manager available.

    Liked by 1 person

    • I don’t see that. We know Hinch is a competent manager, but does he have the skill set/would he be interested in being a GM? I’m concerned that the Tigers are becoming like the Lions – they’ll never go anywhere until they change owners.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Sounds good at first, Tater. But how compatible would a Hinch/Maddon arrangement be? Two strong willed guys don’t always function well together.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Please not Maddon. I don’t know why, but there’s something about him that leaves me cold. Maybe it’s a gut feeling, but I don’t quite like or trust him – and it’s sort of like the way I grew increasingly disillusioned by Leyland during his tenure as our manager.

      Liked by 3 people

  6. Tigers are winning more than losing right now. Hitting can only get better. When the Tiger offence improves, they will climb up the standings. The season has about 2/3 left. Should be good baseball from here to September.

    Liked by 2 people

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