MONEY, MONEY, MONEY

by Holly Horning

I have been riding the roller coaster of rumors and free agent signings on Monday, wondering when was the best time to write this blog.  Fearing that as soon as I published, it would be outdated.

UPDATE: While we were all sleeping, the Tigers are reported to have signed Javier Baez. A 6-year contract with price still unknown.

UPDATE TO THE UPDATE: Unofficially, reports say the contract is for $140 million with an opt-out.

It’s been exhausting to read about all the players rushing to sign with teams before Wednesday night.  Many being proactive before the expected lockout comes and all baseball transactions have to stop until a new CBA is ratified.  Players want to lock-in before the lockout because they need to know how to prepare for the new season as well as find new homes convenient to their geographic location.

Also the fear that if a new CBA is confirmed just before or during spring training time, they may be forced to rush and sign without proper negotiations conducted.

So what am I seeing?  A couple patterns. 

And if you’ve been reading my blogs, you know how I love patterns……

First, the vast amount of money being spent.  Insane money.

Even the Rays and the Marlins are spending.  Now that’s weird….

And I’m wondering why so many are taking such big risks on certain players.

First, there’s Justin Verlander who will get $50 mill for 2 years.  A guy who hasn’t pitched (other than 6 innings) in 2 years and coming off major surgery.  Can he pitch for an entire season?  Can he last for an entire year or will he get burned out just in time for the playoffs?

We all love JV but he’s being paid twice as much as a regular #1 or #2 starter.  And he’s going to be almost 41 by the time this contract concludes.

And now, Max Scherzer.  Setting another yearly salary record for pitchers at $40 mill/year.  Without incentives included.

He’ll be 40 when this contract with the Mets expires.

But here’s what no one in the national media is mentioning.  Max will actually be raking in $55 mill each year!

The Nationals are still paying him $15 mill/year for the next 8 years on top of his Mets’ salary.

Despite his insistence that he wanted to play for a West Coast team, it all comes down to the money for Max.  He went from the Nationals to the Dodgers.  And now to the Mets.  That’s quite a fall.  (But for the record, he also said he’d be interested in a team that based their spring training in Florida since he lives there.)  He once again wanted to be MLB’s most well-paid pitcher.

 However, I have to giggle at the prospect of the Mets’ new GM (the former Angels’ GM) bringing in buddy Brad Ausmus to manage the team.  Careful what you wish for, Max.

Owner Steve Cohen clearly overpaid to get him to come.  That’s what happens when your organization is dysfunctional.

But the scary thing is that Cohen has now committed over $250 mill this year to the Mess, er, Mets and he still has holes to fill.  It’s being reported that he’s not too concerned with the luxury tax and he could just blow the rest of MLB out of the water in terms of overall payroll going forward.

Nick Castellanos is also looking for a big payday and rumors have it that he wants a contract of 7-8 years.  Don’t be shocked to know that Dave Dombrowski is entertaining the thought of a reunion in Philadelphia.  And we know Dave doesn’t scrimp on contracts.

Until Monday, the Tigers had spent the most on new contracts in MLB.  Now, they rank 5th.

The good news is that they are spending money again.  Sensible money so far.

And they’ve been in the running for some solid free agents like Robbie Ray and Steven Matz.  Avila has been talking to all top 5 free agent short stops, too.

All a reassuring sign.

However, the bad news.  Marcus Semien was expected to have the shortest and least expensive contract at 4 yrs./$120 mill.  He just signed for 7 yrs./$175 mill.  Three years and $55 mill more than thought.

And he’s the oldest one of all.  Marcus will be 38 when his contract ends. And he probably won’t be the shortstop towards the end of his time there.

Ouch.

What he’s just done is set the bar much higher for the rest of the shortstop market.  Carlos Correa currently is wearing the world’s biggest grin.

Not great for the Tigers.  As of Monday, they have been most closely tied to Javy Baez.  That is, if Steve Cohen doesn’t bring him back, too.

But the most interesting part of this money madness?

It’s all going to a select few players.  Overall, approximately 80% of the rest of MLB players have stagnated salaries or are making less overall.  Primarily the guys who are no longer making minimum, under team control and not yet putting up big contract numbers.

And that’s one of the top points of contention in the ongoing CBA negotiations. The gap between what players earn and what owners are making has been getting greater with each passing year.

Ooops.


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26 thoughts on “MONEY, MONEY, MONEY

  1. Don’t see your comment? Have you checked the rules for posting? Comments are only approved if they address today’s topic, do not exceed the maximum length and meet all of the other requirements posted in our rules section ( the “Rules” button located at the top of the page). This also means NO CAPS. Please make sure to check them out!

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  2. We can argue all day about how much an owner should invest in payroll, but I am sure we can all agree that it is bizarre that a player under control might play the same position with even better stats than a free agent and earn a tiny fraction of the salary. This is neither capitalism or socialism— it is uniquely weirdism.

    Liked by 6 people

  3. Not surprised that baseball mirrors society. Too many value money over what’s really important. And overspending teams aren’t necessarily getting value for their millions. As the late Louis Rukeyser used to say on his “Wall Street Week” TV show (and wise investors know), “Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”

    Liked by 8 people

    • You mention a favorite of mine. Louis Rukeyser. In my job duties I came in contact with Mr. Rukeyser weekly for years. He would venture down from NY every week to tape his show and then head back home. He was one of the finest people it has ever been my pleasure to interact with. A gentle soul, down to earth and a true gentleman. He also loved the game of baseball.

      Liked by 1 person

  4. So much for the forecasted discounts, lol, these deals are insane and will haunt the billionaires that fence them. Sanity is the only way to stay measured and find sustainability. You have to be looking at Correa at 10 for 350, Baez at 7 for 150; for me it’s more about the length and structure of contracts. If you wake up Al’s drunken sailor, you better keep him under control and don’t let him spend your future.

    Liked by 4 people

  5. Max is a great pitcher….but in my mind he has quit twice when his team needed him most. Last year he couldn’t even attempt to pitch in a playoff game due to his arm being “ dead”. I don’t remember what year it was but didn’t he pull himself in the middle of a playoff game for the Tigers? In my mind…not someone I’m sure I would want to be my “go to” guy.

    Liked by 7 people

    • Yes he did….called Ausmus to the mound handed him the ball and walked off…..if Ausmus does wind up being the manager of the Mets, New Yorkers who are infamous for their meanness will eat those two alive.

      Liked by 5 people

  6. Only in MLB, where in just a few short days these same owners will cry poverty and lock out the players due to out of control salaries. The Tigers have the money to spend on free agents, and Pudge and Magglio seemed like crazy money at the time. This team desperately needs star power, where it eventually comes from is the multi-million dollar question.

    Liked by 2 people

    • So true. I am sure some fans were mad about players holding out for another ten grand back in the day! Like my wife said when I told her about Scherzer’s salary, “At what point do the extra millions mean anything [to players and owners]?” During the crash of ’87 her zillionaire boss and his cronies would brag to each about how much $$ they lost on paper.

      Liked by 2 people

  7. Scherzer signing with the Mets, one of the most dysfunctional franchises around with a petulant owner. Good luck Max. So, in addition to being paid seemingly in perpetuity, Max’s actual salary dive for the next three years will be nearly 59 Million dollars to pitch every fifth day. So it was all about the money after all, as it is with so many. A very wise older woman once told me to never hold a dollar bill so close that you cannot see anything else.

    Liked by 7 people

  8. I sure can agree with your comment about the Mets hiring Ausmus Holly. Ausmus is incredibly smart with his Ivy league education. In fact, I believe he knows more about leading underachieving teams than any person currently walking on this planet.

    Liked by 4 people

  9. On the possibility of Baez signing with the Tigers, If it’s true, I’ll have a wait and see attitude to how it will work out. Hoping he’s not another Iggy, only lots more moolah.

    Liked by 3 people

  10. I agree with Nick M especially his last statement. I completely understood when Max left Detroit–its a business for these players to manage their careers and he wanted that ring and it wasn’t going to happen in Detroit. Well he has a ring and now its just absolute greed.

    Liked by 5 people

    • Except that it was always about the money with Scherzer, first and foremost. The ring, while desired, was a secondary pursuit. He left Detroit to chase the $$$, his claiming otherwise was disingenuous. The sad thing is I lost all respect for him when he chose not to be honest about it.

      Liked by 2 people

  11. So the Tiger’s have signed two big contracts this fall/winter. Wasn’t that to be expected? After all, if A.J. Hinch doesn’t like the direction the Tiger’s are going, in terms of building a ballclub, then he can exit town and never look back. CI wants him here and has opened the checkbook. Will there be one more big signing by the Tigers before the CBA expires?

    Liked by 1 person

  12. I like the opt-out in the contract and it will look cheap after Correa signs. That’s only $46 million the Tigers will have to eat in the last 2 years. Correa his last 2 years will cost about $80 mil. It’s not about not losing games, it’s about not losing money.

    Liked by 2 people

  13. Lack of competition is at the root of these market excesses. Because of antitrust laws, MLB owners don’t have to worry about competition from a startup league. Free agents don’t have to worry about competition from players who are still under control. The losers are all the players who are still under the control of their parent club. Their value to the team is determined by an arbitrator, and their salaries have stagnated.

    Liked by 1 person

    • I don’t agree that their salaries have stagnated. The higher the FA salaries go, the higher the arbitration salaries will go – albeit at a still much lower cost to the owner.

      Liked by 2 people

      • “It’s (the money) all going to a select few players. Overall, approximately 80% of the rest of MLB players have stagnated salaries or are making less overall. Primarily the guys who are no longer making minimum, under team control and not yet putting up big contract numbers.” -taken from Holly’s post today.

        Liked by 1 person

  14. I’m not sure I want to see Baez become a Tiger because of his thumbs down incident with the Mets fans. In any case, he’s too expensive. As far as greed I know how you feel. When I became a free agent (we call it unemployed in the real world) I thought a few companies were offering me more than I deserved, especially considering my age. I just couldn’t find a way to gracefully turn them down and still get the job.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. I would rather have Correa than Baez but the difference in cost will be enormous. Just not worth it. One bad injury and they will never be the same again but will still collect their pay check. What staggers me is that the Texas Rangers spent over a half a billion dollars on three players. In one day! Huh? Simply insane.

    Liked by 4 people

  16. Love ole Louis Rukeyser. But he was talking stock performance. Holly is talking human nature. Two different animals. Seeing patterns in actions is like seeing the visible in the invisible. Then you know what people will do before they do it. Patterns,trends and tendencies.

    Liked by 1 person

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